Intrade Predictions

For those not familiar, there is a website (actually a few of them) that is a cross between the stock market and a gambling website.  It’s called Intrade.  Basically, the way it works is they are an electronic exchange for buying and selling shares of different events.  One event that is particularly popular is the [...]

The Liberal Crab’s Poll of “Poll of Polls” – 03 November 2008

Popular Vote
Obama – 51.5% +6.8%
McCain – 44.7%
Electoral College
Obama – 347
McCain – 191
 
Well here we are, the eve of the election and the final Poll of “Poll of Polls”.  The final popular vote total is 51.5% for Obama and 44.7% for McCain, giving Obama a 6.8% poll lead going into the election tomorrow. Oddly, after analyzing [...]

A Grandmother’s Belief and Hope in Obama

Just wanted to add my two cents to this blog for anyone who is still nervous about this election, who still worry that we will be disappointed once again.
I remember four years ago, working for Kerry, going to Ohio the night before the election to volunteer, and watching the returns election evening, and believing Kerry [...]

What Did Drudge Look like a Day before the 2004 Election?

Here’s a snapshot of Drudge the day before the 2004 election.  Just thought it would be fun to see how much has changed ,how much hasn’t.

Perhaps the Most Important Reason I am Voting for Barack Obama – My Children

Before you have children, you live your life for yourself.  The decisions you make are based in what’s best for you.  But that changes when you have children.  I should know, my wife and I have three beautiful young children.  Once you have them, everything changes.  Your life is not your own.  This isn’t simply [...]

The Liberal Crab’s Poll of “Poll of Polls” – 02 November 2008

Popular Vote
Obama – 51.1% +6%
McCain – 45%
Electoral College
Obama – 352
McCain – 186
Well, the most obvious thing to notice over the last two days is the increase in support for both candidates.  This makes sense as you’d expect some of the undecideds to quickly begin focusing in on their choice.  While the movement was nominal away [...]

The Liberal Crab’s Poll of “Poll of Polls” – 01 November 2008

Popular Vote
Obama – 50.9%  +6.2%
McCain – 44.7%
Electoral College
Obama – 354
McCain – 184
McCain and Obama both gained in the polls today, but McCain’s gain was slightly better, but nothing that changes the dynamic of the race.  The biggest change, and one that is extremely positive for Obama, is that undecideds dropped by 1% since yesterday.  The [...]

The Liberal Crab’s Poll of “Poll of Polls” – 31 October 2008

Popular Vote
Obama – 50.5% +6.3
McCain – 44.2%
Electoral College
Obama – 356
McCain – 182
Good news from the popular voting front.  It appears that McCain’s march to tighten the popular vote has stalled out over the last few days.  Obama picked up .1% and McCain dropped .1% since yesterday.  For five days, McCain’s support has remained between 44.3-44.4%. [...]

The Liberal Crab’s Poll of “Poll of Polls” – 28 October 2008

Popular Vote
Obama – 51.1% +6.7%
McCain – 44.3%
Electoral College
Obama – 362
McCain – 176
In the popular vote analysis, McCain continues to march – though slowly – up the polls.  He gained another .4%, and broke the 44% threshold.  Obama, on the other hand, has remained relatively flat.  Today he dropped .1%.  That comes after three days at [...]

The Final Nail in Coffin for the Campaign of Senator John McCain?

Per John McCain, from Meet the Press on Sunday morning: “Do we share a common philosophy of the Republican Party? Of course,”  - and with that, perhaps McCain added the final nail to the coffin of the McCain/Palin ticket.
In context, what McCain was trying to do was say that both him and George Bush are Republicans and share [...]