Karl Rove’s Electoral Map

For those who want to see Dr. Evil’s map, I am including it below:
 

 
I like Rove’s map because he puts the % that the candidates are up.  You need 270 to win.  McCain needs to win all the ‘yellow’ states and then pick off 41 more Electoral Votes.  If he takes Pennsylvania – he’d still [...]

Sunday Polls – Mid-Day Update

Just looking at some of the polls that were released today.  Weekends are slow.  However, Gallup (2 polls), Zogby, Hotline and Rasumssen released polls – all of them a rolling average for the last three days.  The average lead for Obama is 7 points.  If you take out the upper and lower extremes, he’s still [...]

Tooting my Own Horn?

My analysis last night on the six daily national tracking polls beat Dailykos and Pollster to the punch – the did their analysis this morning!!  They did the same aggregation I did with the polls.  Their conclusion?  Basically the same as mine – the race is stable and tightening has been non-existent.  You can see [...]

Poll City – Come Get More!

Ok, I am obsessed with polls.  This is partly due to my obsession with this election, but also I am a numbers guy.  By day I am financial consultant/analyst.  So, that’s where it comes from.  Here is one more chart I put together, I probably will not update daily.

This shows all the National Tracking polls [...]

According to Drudge – The Race is Even!!

Citing the latest AP/GFK Poll, Matt Drudge has put at the top of his site the race is even.  Now, I am as much of a worrier as the next Democrat, but the poll is wrong and AP and Drudge’s representation is out of date.  Here’s the facts about the AP poll.
1) It is a [...]

Breaking: Polls Improve for Obama?

For the last couple of days, Drudge has been providing a ‘preview’ of several polls, including Zogby, the night prior to their release.  As of 10:30pm, he hasn’t put those updates on his site.  That would be an indication of movement back towards Obama and probably a result of the debate last night.
Nate Silver at [...]

Staying Positive During Obama’s Difficult Polling Time

While we Democrats might be dismayed by the Palin bump, and let’s face it, that’s what it is, it shouldn’t have come as a shock that Obama lost his lead. The pessimists expected it for a variety of reasons (I among them) – attributing it to a convention bounce, a poorly run campaign, the [...]