The Liberal Crab’s Poll of “Poll of Polls” – 16 October 2008

Popular Vote

Obama  – 50.8% +6.3%

McCain – 44.5%

Electoral Vote

Obama – 360

McCain – 178


Obama’s lead decreased .4% since yesterday, but his electoral vote count when up by a net of 6 votes.  Real Clear Politics, which uses a straight average based on all the polls they include.  But the big change was in the Electoral Map where, based on my methdology for toss-up states, moved 16 electoral college to Obama.  The popular vote is getting slightly tighter, but the electoral vote continues to climb.  The general theory is that state polls lag the national polls, so we may see some tightening in the state polls in the next week.  The effects of the debate won’t be seen, initially, until tomorrow.


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