The Liberal Crab’s Poll of “Poll of Polls” – 16 October 2008

Popular Vote

Obama  – 50.8% +6.3%

McCain – 44.5%

Electoral Vote

Obama – 360

McCain – 178

 

Obama’s lead decreased .4% since yesterday, but his electoral vote count when up by a net of 6 votes.  Real Clear Politics, which uses a straight average based on all the polls they include.  But the big change was in the Electoral Map where Pollster.com, based on my methdology for toss-up states, moved 16 electoral college to Obama.  The popular vote is getting slightly tighter, but the electoral vote continues to climb.  The general theory is that state polls lag the national polls, so we may see some tightening in the state polls in the next week.  The effects of the debate won’t be seen, initially, until tomorrow.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: